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SPC MD 1566

MD 1566 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453… FOR CNTRL/ERN KS…FAR SE NEB…FAR NW MO

MD 1566 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1566
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0540 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN KS...FAR SE NEB...FAR NW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453...

VALID 192240Z - 200015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL PERSIST FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE CURRENT LINE OF TSTMS CONTINUES EWD INTO ERN
KS. ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SVR THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
NEED FOR A DOWNSTREAM WATCH.

DISCUSSION...LINE OF TSTMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO ERN KS
HAS OCCASIONALLY SHOWN UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS BUT FOR THE MOST PART STORMS HAVE STAYED BELOW SEVERE
THRESHOLDS. TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG THE FRONT AS
IT CONTINUES EWD. CELL MERGERS MAY RESULT IN BRIEF UPDRAFT
INTENSIFICATION AND SOME FORWARD-PROPAGATION...BUT MODEST
INSTABILITY AND FURTHER DISPLACEMENT FROM THE BETTER VERTICAL SHEAR
SUGGEST ONLY AN ISOLATED DOWNSTREAM SEVERE THREAT. AS
SUCH...ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

..MOSIER.. 08/19/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   40169672 40559625 40539518 39889464 37869552 37199633
            37439804 40169672 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/1gkHOxY

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