MD 0702 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202… FOR NWRN AND N-CNTRL KS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0308 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AND N-CNTRL KS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202... VALID 240808Z - 240915Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A MARGINALLY SEVERE-HAIL THREAT WILL TEND TO FOCUS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OVER N-CNTRL AND NWRN KS. DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A WEST-EAST ORIENTED CLUSTER OF STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CORES. THE TERMINUS OF A STRONG SOUTHERLY LLJ IS FOCUSED OVER NRN PORTIONS OF KS AND THIS FEATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG POLEWARD FLUX OF ADEQUATELY RICH MOISTURE. MODERATE ELEVATED BUOYANCY /MUCAPE 1000-2000 J PER KG/ AMIDST EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40 KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS /MIX OF STRONG MULTICELLS AND SHORT-LIVES SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL RISK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ..SMITH.. 05/24/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38950101 39820039 39559672 39079693 38950101
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://1.usa.gov/1XtineJ
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