MD 0709 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217… FOR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA…SOUTHWEST IOWA…AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0709 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020 Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...Southwest Iowa...and Northwest Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 217... Valid 242025Z - 242200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 217 continues. SUMMARY...The damaging wind and large hail threat continues across watch 217. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has developed north of an MCV located west of Topeka at 20Z. The widespread storm coverage and subsequent storm interference has limited the intensity of this convection thus far. The exception is the far eastern cell in this line which has produced golf ball to baseball sized hail. This will continue to be the area with the greatest threat for very large hail given the unimpeded storm inflow. Despite the lack of more intense storms farther west, these storms still pose a severe threat as the downstream airmass features 1500 to 2500 J/kg MLCAPE and effective shear remains around 40 knots per EAX VWP. In addition, surface flow remains backed ahead of this convection and thus a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. ..Bentley.. 05/24/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP... LAT...LON 40279645 40989666 41669634 42139574 42259526 42179350 41309341 40249359 39829393 39629432 39819478 39949568 40279645
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/2zhDHBO
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