MD 0830 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 199…200…201… FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS…EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES…WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0830 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018 Areas affected...South-central Kansas...Eastern Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles...Western and Central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199...200...201... Valid 230012Z - 230215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199, 200, 201 continues. SUMMARY...The wind damage threat will likely continue with a linear MCS moving east-southeastward across parts of the central and southern Plains this evening. A brief tornado or an isolated large hail threat will also exist with the stronger portions of the line. DISCUSSION...A linear MCS is continuing to organize across the southern and central High Plains early this evening. The MCS is expected to enter the mature phase over the next couple of hours as it moves east-southeastward across south-central Kansas, the eastern Texas Panhandle and into northwest Oklahoma. Over the last hour, the line has accelerated and the faster moving segments within the line are moving at about 55 knots. This speed of movement will make wind damage likely along the leading edge. A 69 knot gust was measured at Dodge City at 7:02 CDT. The strongest part of the MCS is expected to move across southern Kansas, the northeastern Texas Panhandle and northwestern Oklahoma where the combination of shear and instability is maximized. The low-level jet will increase across the southern Plains also aiding development with the MCS. A weather watch may need to be considered to the east of severe thunderstorm watch 201 later this evening. ..Broyles/Grams.. 06/23/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 39049886 38189960 37590018 37090065 36500112 35960158 35770168 35470168 35260154 34990068 34729873 34709760 35359701 36669664 37629646 38409659 38789758 39049886
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/1tKEdZb
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