SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1138 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2015 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED WITH A FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH SLOWLY SHIFTING E OVER THE WEST...WHILE A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDS IN THE EAST. A VORTICITY MAXIMA ASSOCIATED WITH A DECAYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST ON D1 SHOULD FURTHER DAMPEN OVER PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS. ...SOUTHEAST... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY PERSIST ALONG A WEAKENING BAROCLINIC ZONE. WITH TROPOSPHERIC WINDS DIMINISHING SUBSTANTIALLY BY TUE MORNING...AMID MODEST LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...AN ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ...FOUR CORNERS AREA... AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND DCVA INCREASE DOWNSTREAM OF THE WRN TROUGH...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION SHOULD FORM LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AS SHOWERS AS BUOYANCY IS LIKELY TO BE SCANT...CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE ONLY AROUND 100 J/KG. WITHIN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG GRADIENT FLOW...SPORADIC/QUITE ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR. ..GRAMS.. 11/02/2015
from SPC Convective Outlooks http://1.usa.gov/1LLgHXu
Be First to Comment